Flash Flood Watch in effect today

Our first big snow could be only a week away

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It's beginning to look a lot like Christmas! Not only does that ring true in our neighborhoods as holiday lights and Christmas Trees go up, but our weather models look a little more wintry too. Cold weather will begin on Wednesday with high temperatures in the 30s and 40s. After that, some snowfall looks more and more possible for early next week.

But first, I must caution everyone that this is one model's solution for early next week. The other suite of weather models shows high pressure and sunny skies. And this solution isn't until next week. A lot can and will change between now and then!

See which stormtracks bring us the most snow

This morning's ECMWF computer model (which is usually pretty good when it comes to wintry weather) shows a developing low pressure moving from East Texas Saturday evening to Michigan Monday afternoon. This would put a swath of potentially heavy snow from Missouri, up into Eastern Iowa, Western Illinois, up into Central Wisconsin. This type of track is one that can put down many inches of snowfall. But a lot depends on the exact track of low pressure and its intensity. We really won't know all of that until later this week.

Winter is the most challenging of seasons. Sometimes we can pinpoint a chance of severe thunderstorms five days out, but wintry weather is much more difficult. So check back with us as we go through the week. Right now, I will put cloudy skies on the 8 Day Outlook, but if different models show that solution for early next week, we will begin to forecast this with a little more focus.

Stay tuned!

-Meteorologist Eric Sorensen


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