Terry’s Take: Winter 2014, according to the Farmer’s Almanac

Posted on: 10:51 pm, August 27, 2013, by

Terry Swails Weather Blog

A BITING COLD AND SNOWY WINTER….SO SAYS THE FARMERS ALMANAC!
Year in and year out this prognostication gets plenty of play and amazingly, is considered the gospel by some. It’s the winter forecast from the Farmers Almanac. Personally, I take it with a grain of salt and a glass of warm milk. Honestly, it’s hard for me to take anything too seriously when there is no rational given to support the forecast. (The folks at the almanac are real tight with their formula). Whatever the case, I now present you with the brand new 2014 winter outlook from the Farmers Almanac.

b cover shivery

So, what’s in store for this winter? The “Days of Shivery” are back! For 2013–2014, we are forecasting a winter that will experience below average temperatures for about two-thirds of the nation. A large area of below-normal temperatures will predominate from roughly east of the Continental Divide to the Appalachians, north and east through New England. Coldest temperatures will be over the Northern Plains on east into the Great Lakes. Only for the Far West and the Southeast will there be a semblance of winter temperatures averaging close to normal, but only a few areas will enjoy many days where temperatures will average above normal.

THE BREAKDOWN

THE BREAKDOWN

Precipitation-wise, the Southern Plains, Midwest, and Southeast will see above-normal conditions, while the rest of the country will average near normal. With a combination of below-normal temperatures and above-normal precipitation the stage will be set for the Midwest, Great Lakes, and Central and Northern New England to receive lots of snow. Farther south, where the thermometer will be vacillating above or below the freezing mark, Southern New England, Southeast New York, New Jersey, and down through the Mid-Atlantic region will be seeing either copious rains and/or snows.

And yet, the Pacific Northwest (or is it “northwet?”) where indeed wet weather is almost a given during the winter months, the overall winter season could average out drier than normal.

Significant snowfalls are forecast for parts of every zone. Over the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic states, we are “red-flagging” the first ten days of February for possible heavy winter weather. More importantly, on February 2, Super Bowl XLVIII will be played at MetLife Stadium in New Jersey’s Meadowlands—the very first time a Super Bowl will be played outdoors in a typically cold weather environment. We are forecasting stormy weather for this, the biggest of sporting venues. But even if we are off by a day or two with the timing of copious wind, rain, and snow, we wish to stress that this particular part of the winter season will be particularly volatile and especially turbulent.

THE WINTER OUTLOOK IS ONE OF THE ALMANACS BIGGEST FEATURES

THE WINTER OUTLOOK IS ONE OF THE ALMANACS BIGGEST FEATURES

And mid-March could bring a wave of storminess stretching almost from coast to coast, bringing a wide variety of precipitation types as well as strong and gusty winds.

There you have it, for what its worth!